September 27, 2004

Yes, Kerry Still Stinks

I haven't updated the HMN/HYN Graphs since last Tuesday, but I updated it today, and sadly, the news is still not good for Kerry. Take a look at the graphs:

Kerry's HMN/HYN numbers are still astronomical when compared to Bush's numbers, and this is really bad for Kerry. As I said two months ago:

If Democrats are walking into the voting booth with the same expression one finds when encountering three day old roadkill, why should independents vote for the guy?

And the difference has been staggering, to say the least Bush's HMN number has never broken 180. Since the second week of August, Kerry's number has never gone below 9000, and Bush's HYN number has never broken 50, while Kerry's has stayed solidly above 200. These numbers still say the same thing--blowout, and Kerry must realize this. The polling data give Bush a 5 to 10 point lead right now, and both Kerry and the mainstream press realize it. Both are trying their darnedest to shift the poll numbers. The Kerry team is trying to rally the base, in effect, trying to lower his own HMN number. The mainstream press is trying to tarnish Bush by trying to portray him as incompetent and not a great leader, in effect trying to raise Bush's HMN number. That was why Dan Antidisestablishmentarianism[I don't care if noone else likes the new name, I do!--ed] tried to go after Bush's TANG service--to make him look like a less than honorable person.

The problem is, neither strategy seems to have been very successful. Kerry's HMN number actually has increased slightly since last week, and while Bush's number has increased slightly, it still is microscopic in comparison to Kerry. That means that Kerry has one last shot at changing the outlook before the election--the debates. Kerry must win so decisively in the debates that Bush supporter must become massively demoralized, and the only way that is going to happen is if Bush suffers a breakdown on the podium, and after seeing Bush since 9/11, I know that Bush is a real cool customer who is not rattled easily.

We also know something else over the past year--Kerry does rattle easily. If running into a Secret Service Agent causes Kerry to call said agent an SOB, exactly how will he react when Bush calls Kerry out on one of his more egregious flipflops?

Frankly, as it stands now, the debates are Kerry's last gasp at beating Bush. If Kerry can't flatten Bush in the debates, Bush will win the election handily.

Posted by John Bono at September 27, 2004 12:36 AM| Link Cosmos

Did a link ask for annoying Registration? Bug me not!

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