Right now, as I see it, Bush gets a win. He didn't knock Kerry out, but he hit Kerry hard, and frankly, he didn't even need to do that. Bush registers a win simply by not getting knocked out. Kerry had to hit Bush hard, and Kerry did not land any serious blows. Bush, on the other hand, did manage to reinforce his image as commander in chief. I don't think Kerry was able to do that.
Bush managed to really land some blows on Kerry about his stance on Iraq. He used Kerry's own words against him more than once, and did an excellent job in showing Kerry as not being a real true believer in winning the War.
Bush paused too long occasionally, and I think it might have taken away a bit from his overall message. However, I also think that the punidtocracy will do what they usually do anytime Bush speaks, and harp on style too much, and ignore the substantive points Bush made in the debate.
Bush took on Kerry quite strongly on Kerry's stance towards our allies. Those were body blows.
Kerry had the better soundbite quote, but Bush did better overall.
Lehrer gave Kerry a major league softball at the beginning, and he should have stayed out of the debate a bit more. On the other hand, overall, Lehrer could have done worse. Personally, they should dump everyone and let Brian Lamb moderate debates from now on, if only that the self important anchorman factor will be minimized.
Bush used Kerry's previous statements very effectively against him. Every statement Kerry made about Iraq going back to 2002 Bush used against Kerry. That was the most effective thing Bush did in the debate.
Listening to the pundits afterwards, they still seem to mistake style with substance. Bush stammers a bit, but he communicates on a basic level. Kerry didn't really articulate a long term vision for how he would win the war, and Bush did. Frankly, I think the big losers in the debate are the punditocracy. They really don't get the sort of homespun quality Bush has when he speaks. He communicates very effectively, but because he isn't "high falutin'" in his use of language, pundits immediately discount him. That is a mistake.
Overall, I'd call this a solid Bush win.
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